KeyBanc Remains Upbeat On Auto-Based Companies Like Microchip, Indie; Shares View On Semiconductor Stocks

In this article:
  • KeyBanc analyst John Vinh said nine companies were under coverage (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc (NASDAQ: AMD), Cirrus Logic, Inc (NASDAQ: CRUS), Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: LSCC), Monolithic Power Systems, Inc (NASDAQ: MPWR), NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI), ON Semiconductor Corporation (NASDAQ: ON), Qorvo, Inc (NASDAQ: QRVO), Skyworks Solutions, Inc (NASDAQ: SWKS), Synaptics Inc (NASDAQ: SYNA)) and reported positive results but mixed guidance.

  • The broad-based analog (LSCC, MPWR, NXPI, ON) reported robust results/guidance, and China smartphone-exposed companies (QRVO, SWKS) posted weaker results.

  • While the China COVID lockdowns are disrupting both supply and demand, particularly in consumer-facing end-markets, such as P.C./mobile, the impacts appear lesser than we initially had feared following Texas Instruments Inc's (NASDAQ: TXN) report.

  • Notably, NXPI indicated that 50% of its customers in China are now fully operational, another 30% are recovering, and 20% remain shut down, which suggests the supply chain in China is healing nicely.

  • By end-markets, automotive, industrial & IoT, and data center demand remains strong; with softening consumer P.C., industry shipments in 2022 are likely to decline HSD% vs. flat to down LSD% previously, as enterprise strength continues to offset consumer/Chromebook weakness.

  • Mobile demand, especially in China, is being negatively impacted by the recent COVID lockdowns, with QRVO signaling a multi-quarter inventory correction in handsets and tempering 5G industry smartphone shipments in 2022 from 725 million (+32%) to 662 million (+20%).

  • Conversely, the iPhone and high-end smartphone demand remain resilient.

  • Vinh saw that broad-based and auto-exposed companies Microchip Technology Inc (NASDAQ: MCHP) and Indie Semiconductor, Inc (NASDAQ: INDI) are likely to post solid results and guidance this week.

Latest Ratings for AMD

Feb 2022

Bernstein

Upgrades

Market Perform

Outperform

Feb 2022

Daiwa Capital

Upgrades

Outperform

Buy

Feb 2022

Mizuho

Maintains

Buy

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