ALS.TO
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
Diversified , Long-Life, Natural Resource Royalties
16th Annual Global Mining Conference
January 14-16, 2025
Renewable Power | Clean Steel | Potash | Copper | Lithium | Nickel | Cobalt
2024 Highlights
Potash
Global potash demand returns to LT growth trend levels on more affordable pricing while operators highlight competitive abilities to continue to incrementally grow production levels to meet further expected global supply requirements
Altius operators expect to hold or grow market share
Base and Battery Metals
Construction completed at Voisey's Bay Eastern Deeps mine while recently commissioned Reid Brook mine continues to ramp up Curipamba permitting finalized and early construction works underway, targeting initial production late 2026 Saúva resource drilling continues to successfully expand potential deposit size while district level expansion studies continue to advance
Grota do Cirillo phase 1 lithium spodumene production achieved and stage 2 expansion underway.
Tres Quebradas and Mariana lithium brine projects continued construction progress
US Electricity (ARR)
ARR revenue ramping up according to plan with several additional projects
advancing towards operations Strong new investment deployment progress at higher returns as competing capital market sources remained subdued
Take private transaction completed that delivered a significant premium and liquidity to minority shareholders
Northampton Capital brought on as new partner and adds access to deep pools of pension fund based long-term capital
High-Purity Iron Ore
Kami Project - PFS, EIS stage-1 review, steelmaker partnering and offtake completed Continued strong investment levels at IOC with operator signaling potential to expand production of DR grade products
High-purity iron ore begins to gain market share from low to moderate grade ores as BF to EAF transition gains momentum
Silicon
Published maiden resource for Merlin brings combined Expanded Silicon Project Inferred and M&A Resources to more than 13Moz... and still growing
Partial award announced from binding arbitration
PG
Full year PG portfolio value increased to ~$60 million from $45 million despite net monetization of nearly $14 million
Corporate
761,500 shares acquired under NCIB at an average price of $21.27 per share ($16.2 million invested)
Dividend increased to $0.36/share annually
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
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Balance, Diversity & Longevity
Remaining Royalty Lives Range From 19 to 163 years (Average 43 years)
Production
10 Mines, 13 Renewable
Other
1%
Construction
Gold
17%
Potash
4 Mines, 2 Renewable
28%
Advanced Study
Analyst
2 Mines, 21 Renewable
Consensus
NAV
Renewables
18%
"High Purity"
Iron Ore
Base & Battery
19%
Metals
17%
South
America
20%
Canada
49%
Consensus
NAV by
Jurisdiction
United States
31%
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
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Silicon Gold District
Highlights and Outlook
Major new Nevada gold district discovery by Anglogold
Ashanti
Significant ongoing resource growth potential
Expanded Silicon PFS underway, covering the Silicon and
Merlin deposits
Altius 1.5% NSR Royalty
Partial award under ongoing arbitration has been announced (see 2025-01-10PR)
Strategic alternatives being evaluated for royalty ranging from long-term portfolio addition to a sale or asset swap
Source: Anglogold Ashanti Q3 2024 Earnings Results Conference call presentation, https://thevault.exchange/?get_group_doc=143/1730973223-Q32024ResultspresentationFINAL.pdf
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
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Potash
Market Stabilized - Long-term Growth Trend Intact
Potash prices re-basing at higher levels following war-based price surge and inflationary reorganization of global distribution and logistics networks
Royalty mines holding market share ~20% of growing global market demand
Competitive advantage of Saskatchewan mines to meet future global demand growth further accentuated by geopolitical and relative cost of capital challenges of major competitors in Russia and Belarus
$900
$800
Potash Price (FOB Mid West)
$700
$600
$500
$400
$300
~$320
~$225
$200
Global Demand Tracking Well to Long-Term Growth Trend
140
Mt
129
Actual Global Demand
120
LT Growth Trend (2.4% CAGR)
Mt
102
100
82 Mt
Mt
80
Royalties
71
Mt
Acquired
60
54
40
20
0
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Altius Royalty Mines Global Production Market Share
25%
20%
15%
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
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Base and Battery Metals
Copper, Nickel, Cobalt and Lithium
Copper prices still well below incentive levels as costs have increased more than prices
Curipamba project production and royalty payments targeted for commencement in 2026
Sauva discovery (copper) resource increased and now being incorporated into ongoing Chapada district expansion studies
Groto do Cirillo (lithium) into Phase 2 expansion, while Tres Quebradas and Mariana continued construction progress
Voisey's Bay Eastern Deeps mine (nickel) near construction completion
Chapada District Contained Copper Resource &
Reserve1 (Mlbs)
Chapada Reserve
Chapada Measured & Indicated
Sauva Measured & Indicated
Depletion
+2.5 Blbs
1,564Mlbs
660Mlbs
1,124Mlbs
2,372Mlbs
3,248Mlbs
2,499Mlbs
2016
Depletion
2023
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF 1. For more information, please refer to Lundin Mining news release dated February 8, 2024, entitled "Lundin Mining Announces 2023 Mineral Resource and Mineral Reserve Estimates" on the Company's website
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Base and Battery Metals
Copper Incentive Price
As existing fleet of mines become lower grade, deeper and old the cost of extending lives or building new has increased significantly
Copper price has not kept pace with cost increases and therefore continues to fail to incentivize sufficient mine investment decisions to offset a looming copper market supply deficit
$12.00
Production Cost
Capital Intensity
+609%
$10.00
1.0%
$8.00
$6.00
$4.00
+400%
$2.00
-32%
0.5%
$0.00
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
This has persisted since 2012 with supply now set to begin falling meaningfully as a result - while long- term compounding demand growth continues
Altius's portfolio well positioned to benefit from
higher prices and the building / expansion decisions that will result
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
$7.00
Copper Price
Incentive Price
$6.00
$5.00
$4.00
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
$0.00
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
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Renewable Energy Royalties
57% Equity
Altius Renewable Royalties co-founded Great Bay
Renewables (GBR) in 2019
GBR became a 50:50 joint venture with Funds controlled by global PE firm Apollo Global Management in 2020
ARR completed an IPO during early 2021 for proceeds of C$108M
GBR has since funded more than US$490 million in renewable royalty investments,
Current take-private transaction values 100% of ARR at ~US$370M (Altius Minerals 57%)
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
2.6 GW of operating
~7.2 GW of
9 states
royalties, US wind and
development royalties
solar
~US$492M of
~US$13-16M
~+49%
royalty investments
Growth in
2024E Royalty Revenue
counting commitments
Proportionate
GBR
(net)
Revenue ARR YTD
100 MW
200 MW
300 MW
Solar
Operating & Construction
400 MW
Wind
In Development
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High-Purity Iron Ore
Positioned to Benefit From BF to DR Grade Market Share Reversal
Steelmaking Market Share by Process
Global Crude Steel Production
2,500
EAF Steelmaking
3.4% CAGR
29%
Iron Inputs
73%
2,000
Scrap Steel
DR Grade Iron Ore (>67% Fe)
1,500
1,000
BF / BOF Steelmaking
Iron inputs
BF Grade Iron Ore
500
(58-67% Fe)
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Source: Footprint by Steel Making Method: Data by Minespans by McKinsey, Wood Mackenzie
Source: Steelmaking Market Share by Process: Champion Iron Limited, data by
Minespans by McKinsey
TSX: ALS | OTCQX: ATUSF
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Disclaimer
Altius Minerals Corporation published this content on January 14, 2025, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on January 14, 2025 at 14:51:03.811.