Pembina Pipeline's (TSE:PPL) Performance Is Even Better Than Its Earnings Suggest

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Pembina Pipeline Corporation (TSE:PPL) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.

See our latest analysis for Pembina Pipeline

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:PPL Earnings and Revenue History November 15th 2024

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Pembina Pipeline issued 5.7% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Pembina Pipeline's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Pembina Pipeline's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Pembina Pipeline was losing money three years ago. The good news is that profit was up 55% in the last twelve months. On the other hand, earnings per share are only up 51% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Pembina Pipeline can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

On top of the dilution, we should also consider the CA$385m impact of unusual items in the last year, which had the effect of suppressing profit. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Pembina Pipeline doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Pembina Pipeline's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Pembina Pipeline took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But on the other hand, the company issued more shares, so without buying more shares each shareholder will end up with a smaller part of the profit. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Pembina Pipeline's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Pembina Pipeline, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Pembina Pipeline.

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