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When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. A business that's potentially in decline often shows two trends, a return on capital employed (ROCE) that's declining, and a base of capital employed that's also declining. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. Having said that, after a brief look, Superior Industries International (NYSE:SUP) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Superior Industries International, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.0065 = US$3.8m ÷ (US$802m - US$220m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
So, Superior Industries International has an ROCE of 0.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Auto Components industry average of 11%.
Check out our latest analysis for Superior Industries International
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Superior Industries International compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Superior Industries International for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Superior Industries International's historical ROCE trend, it isn't fantastic. The company used to generate 6.3% on its capital five years ago but it has since fallen noticeably. On top of that, the business is utilizing 52% less capital within its operations. The combination of lower ROCE and less capital employed can indicate that a business is likely to be facing some competitive headwinds or seeing an erosion to its moat. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 27%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 0.6%. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
The Key Takeaway
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. And, the stock has remained flat over the last five years, so investors don't seem too impressed either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.