Digital Ally Stock Shows Every Sign Of Being Significantly Overvalued

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Jul 12, 2021
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The stock of Digital Ally (NAS:DGLY, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $1.75 per share and the market cap of $90.1 million, Digital Ally stock is believed to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Digital Ally is shown in the chart below.

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Because Digital Ally is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth.

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Investing in companies with poor financial strength has a higher risk of permanent loss of capital. Thus, it is important to carefully review the financial strength of a company before deciding whether to buy its stock. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage is a great starting point for understanding the financial strength of a company. Digital Ally has a cash-to-debt ratio of 68.87, which is better than 87% of the companies in Business Services industry. GuruFocus ranks the overall financial strength of Digital Ally at 6 out of 10, which indicates that the financial strength of Digital Ally is fair. This is the debt and cash of Digital Ally over the past years:

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It is less risky to invest in profitable companies, especially those with consistent profitability over long term. A company with high profit margins is usually a safer investment than those with low profit margins. Digital Ally has been profitable 0 over the past 10 years. Over the past twelve months, the company had a revenue of $10.6 million and earnings of $0.48 a share. Its operating margin is -80.96%, which ranks in the bottom 10% of the companies in Business Services industry. Overall, the profitability of Digital Ally is ranked 1 out of 10, which indicates poor profitability. This is the revenue and net income of Digital Ally over the past years:

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Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus’ research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company’s stock. If a company’s business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. Digital Ally’s 3-year average revenue growth rate is in the bottom 10% of the companies in Business Services industry. Digital Ally’s 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 60.9%, which ranks better than 95% of the companies in Business Services industry.

Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Digital Ally’s return on invested capital is -60.00, and its cost of capital is 5.97. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Digital Ally is shown below:

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In closing, the stock of Digital Ally (NAS:DGLY, 30-year Financials) is believed to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks better than 95% of the companies in Business Services industry. To learn more about Digital Ally stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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