AAON : 2025 Earnings Call Presentation Q1Q1

AAON

Published on 04/30/2025 at 17:33

( D U Q L Q J V & R Q I H U H Q F H & D O O

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Q1 2025 overview

Sales

Gross Profit Margin

Adj. EBITDA

Adj. Diluted EPS

Backlog

+22.9% Y/Y

-840 bps Y/Y

+75 bps Q/Q

-6.3% Y/Y

17.6% margin

-20.0% Y/Y

+83.9% Y/Y

+18.4% Q/Q

Q1 sales and earnings improved from Q4 results

Strong backlog will result in a steep recovery in 2H 2025

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Q1 Highlights

The year-over-year increase was driven by a 374.8% increase in sales of BASX-branded equipment, largely spurred by data center equipment demand.

This was partially offset by a 19.1% decline in sales of AAON-branded equipment

$400

$300

$266.0

$284.0

$312.2 $306.6

$262.1

$313.6 $327.3

$297.7

$322.1

(in millions)

$200

$100

$-

Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025

37.2%

36.4%

33.1%

35.2%

36.1%

34.9%

29.0%

26.1%

26.8%

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025

Q1 Highlights

Year-over-year contraction largely reflects lower volumes and the related reduced absorption of fixed costs at the AAON Oklahoma segment

Right sizing capacity to meet growing demand at AAON Coil Products and BASX segments resulted in substantial margin expansion at these two segments

$60 18%

$50

(in millions)

$40

$30

16%

$32.9

$39.3

$45.9

$45.3

$48.2

$48.6

$47.9

$51.3

$51.5

14%

$20

$10

12%

$0

Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025

10%

As a percent of sales, SG&A decreased to 15.9%

Included in SG&A was a $2.7 million fee related to tax incentives for the new Memphis facility

$0.55

$0.58

$0.62

$0.63

$0.56

$0.44

$0.46

$0.35

$0.30

$0.70

$0.60

$0.50

$0.40

$0.30

$0.20

$0.10

$-

Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025

The y/y decline is largely associated with the lower gross margin, partially offset by an excess tax benefit related to stock compensation

Included in EPS was a $2.7 million fee related to tax incentives for the new Memphis facility. Excluding the net impact, adjusted EPS was $0.37.

Balance sheet remains strong

Leverage ratio at the

end of the first quarter was 0.95

Working Capital

$500

$267.1

$365.1

Annual Capex

$300

$200

$109.5

$213.2

Expect capex of approximately

$220.0 million in 2025, related to preparing the Memphis facility for production later this year

$250

$0

Q1 2024 Q1 2025

$100

$0

$76.0

2022 2023 2024

Repurchased $30.0 million of shares outstanding

* All metrics are in millions

Restricted Cash, Cash & Cash Equivalents

$40

$20

$0

$8.4

$20.0

$1.0

$1.4

Q1 2024 Q1 2025

Cash and cash equivalents Restricted cash

Debt

$400

$252.4

$200

$0

$-

Q1 2024

Q1 2025

Sales

(All percentages on this slide represent year-over-year changes)

AAON Oklahoma

AAON brand BASX brand

Sales

$161.8M

Down 23.0%

$189.5M

Down 19.1%

$132.6M

Gross Profits

Up 374.8%

$38.0M

Down 51.6%

Production was slower than anticipated due to temporary supply chain issues

Strong demand of data center equipment at the Oregon and Texas facilities

Entering Q2, backlog is strong and supply chain issues are abating, allowing for production to improve substantially

AAON Coil Products

BASX

$94.0M

Up 287.8%

$66.2M

Up 138.9%

$32.5M

Up 299.1%

$15.9M

Up 179.5%

Strength driven by the new BASX-branded data center liquid cooling product

Anticipate improvement in productivity throughout 2025

(All percentages on this slide represent year-over-year changes)

Backlog

AAON brand

BASX brand

$403.9M

Up 44.9%

$623.0M

Up 122.7%

Backlog is the highest level since the first quarter of 2023

With supply chain issues abating, expect production to increase

Demand of air-side and liquid cooling solutions for data centers is robust

Strong visibility into 2026 will result in robust growth for the foreseeable future

TOTAL BACKLOG $1,026.9M

Up 83.9%

Strong backlog allows us to plan production more efficiently

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Anticipate improvement in production volume and efficiency throughout 2025

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Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income Non-GAAP EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA

Three Months Ended March 31,

2025 2024

(in thousands)

Net income, a GAAP measure $ 29,292 $ 39,016

Memphis incentive fee12,700 -

Profit sharing effect2(230) -

Tax effect (627) -

Non-GAAP adjusted net income $ 31,135 $ 39,016

Non-GAAP adjusted earnings per diluted share $ 0.37 $ 0.46

1The incentive fee relates to fees payable to our real estate broker associated with the acquisition of our Memphis, Tenn. plant for a percentage of the incentives awarded to us by various entities.

2Profit sharing effect of the Memphis incentive fee in the respective period.

Three Months Ended March 31,

2025 2024

(in thousands)

Net income, a GAAP measure

$ 29,292

$ 39,016

Depreciation and amortization

18,943

13,437

Interest expense, net

2,802

239

Income tax expense

3,191

7,792

EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure $ 54,228 $ 60,484

Memphis incentive fee1

2,700

-

Profit sharing effect2

(230)

-

Adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure

$ 56,698

$ 60,484

Adjusted EBITDA margin

17.6 %

23.1 %

1The incentive fee relates to fees payable to our real estate broker associated with the acquisition of our Memphis, Tenn. plant for a percentage of the incentives awarded to us by various entities.

2Profit sharing effect of the Memphis incentive fee in the respective period.

Disclaimer

AAON Inc. published this content on April 30, 2025, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed via Public Technologies (PUBT), unedited and unaltered, on April 30, 2025 at 21:31 UTC.